The nation’s top-ranked team makes the short trip from Durham to Raleigh Monday night as the Duke Blue Devils (27-2, 15-1) take the court against the Wolfpack of NC State (19-10, 10-6 ACC).
After dominating the Virginia Cavaliers, 77-51, over the weekend, the Blue Devils will secure the outright ACC regular-season championship with a win over NC State. For their part, the Wolfpack’s hopes of finishing Top 4 in the conference took more than likely a fatal blow Saturday when they lost in overtime in South Bend, 96-90, to a Notre Dame team that did not lead in the game until the extra session.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe matchup features a clash of high-powered individual talents and contrasting team strengths. Duke is led by freshman sensation Cameron Boozer, who is averaging 22.5 points per game and has scored at least 14 points in every game this season. NC State counters with Ven-Allen Lubin, who has been on a tear, averaging 15.3 points and 8.1 rebounds while shooting nearly 70% over his last ten games. The Wolfpack's ability to challenge Duke's elite defense—which allows just 62.5 points per game—will likely hinge on their three-point shooting, as they average 10.5 makes from deep per game.
Injuries and depth could play a decisive role in this Tobacco Road tussle. NC State may be short-handed in the paint after 6-foot-10 reserve Musa Sagnia suffered an ankle injury against Notre Dame, potentially leaving the Pack even more vulnerable against Duke’s interior strength.
Duke has a record of 11-2 in Q1 games and is 6-0 in Q2. NC State is 4-6 in Q1 and 7-2 in Quad 2 games. The Blue Devils are ranked No. 1 in KenPom and No. 1 in the NET. NC State is ranked No. 31 in KenPom and 29th in the NET.
Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementWe’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Game Details and How to Watch Live: No. 1 Duke at NC State
Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
Time: 7PM EST
Site: Lenovo Center
City: Raleigh, NC
Network/Streaming: ESPN
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Game Odds: No. 1 Duke at NC State
The latest odds as of Sunday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Duke Blue Devils (OFF), NC State Wolfpack (OFF)
Spread: Duke -9.5
Total: 148.5 points
This game opened Blue Devils -9.5 with the Total set at 148.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NCAA Basketball schedule!
Expected Starting Lineups: No. 1 Duke at NC State
Duke Blue Devils
G Caleb Foster
G Isaiah Evans
G Dame Sarr
F Cameron Boozer
C Patrick Ngongba II
NC State Wolfpack
G Quadir Copeland
G Paul McNeil Jr.
G Tre Holloman
F Darrion Williams
C Van-Allen Lubin
Injury Report: No. 1 Duke vs. NC State
Duke Blue Devils
Ifeanyi Ufochukwu (undisclosed) has been declared OUT for Monday’s game
Sebastian Wilkins (redshirt) has been declared OUT for Monday’s game
NC State Wolfpack
Jerry Deng (redshirt) has been declared OUT of Monday’s game
Colt Langdon (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game
Musa Sagnia (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game
Important stats, trends and insights: No. 1 Duke vs. NC State
NC State is 11-4 at home this season
Duke is 9-1 on the road this season
Duke is 17-12 ATS overall this season / 7-3 ATS on the road
NC State is 14-15 ATS overall this season / 8-7 ATS at home
The OVER has cashed in just 9 of Duke’s 29 games this season (9-20)
The OVER has cashed in 17 of NC State’s 29 games this season (17-12)
NC State has covered the spread in their last 3 games against Duke
Cameron Boozer is averaging 20 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 4.3 assists over his last 3 games (vs. Michigan, at Notre Dame, vs. Virginia)
Isaiah Evans has not missed more than 1 free throw in his last 11 games and is shooting 88% from the line for the season
Duke’s defense is holding opponents to 62.5ppg on 38.8% shooting
Rotoworld Best Bet
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals. Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementHere are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday’s game between Duke and NC State:
Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on Duke -9.5 ATS
Total: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 148.5.
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